Completed week · verified through 30 Aug

Bitcoin Quantum
Preparedness
Dashboard

Weekly tracker of Bitcoin’s preparation for post-quantum migration.

ScopeThis dashboard tracks preparedness activity only. It does not assess quantum-computer or attack-side progress.
Reporting week24–30 AUG 2026
Last updated31 AUG 2026
Developments added or changed4

01 / Weekly change summary

Since last week

The primary view of the record. Every entry states what changed, why it matters, and the prior and current state.

Why it matters

This turns earlier SHRINCS research into a concrete protocol specification that can be reviewed and revised against executable algorithms.

Previous state

SHRINCS had research papers, experimental implementations and an announced plan to draft a Bitcoin specification.

Current state

A draft cryptographic BIP exists, but it is not assigned or submitted to the BIPs repository. It does not define Bitcoin Script integration, and the authors say proofs, tests and optimized implementation work remain incomplete.

02 / Protocol & BIP tracker

Protocol work

Descriptive status only. Transitions are shown against the prior weekly snapshot.

Latest activity

The first full cryptographic draft and executable reference code entered Bitcoin-Dev review on 27 August.

Dependencies

A separate BIP for Bitcoin Script and output integration; peer review, security proof, tests and optimized implementations.

Open technical questions

Parameter choices, state management, wallet backup and recovery, multisignature workflows and implementation hardening.

Governance questions

The draft is not yet submitted to the BIPs repository and has no assigned number, consensus change or activation process.

Contributors

Conduition, Ethan Heilman, Mikhail Kudinov, Oleksandr Kurbatov, Jonas Nick, remix7531 and collaborators.

Last verified

30 Aug 2026

Primary source

03 / Preparedness record

Trackers & evidence

The maintained current state is the default. Weekly change is a secondary evidence layer, never a replacement for the baseline.

Current view

Engineering

All known current activity, including items that did not change this week.
Hash-based · statelessSLH-DSA / SPHINCS-family pathsResearch, benchmarking and wallet-tool prototyping

Current state

Current status

Research, benchmarking and wallet-tool prototyping

Current documented activity

Developers are comparing validation cost with bandwidth and storage impact while an independent backup-format prototype explores operational seed recovery.

Existing evidence

Public parameter analysis, verifier implementations and a working offline backup prototype exist; there is no Bitcoin consensus deployment.

Outstanding questions

Signature parameters, witness pricing, wallet derivation, backup interoperability, multisignature and hardware-device flows remain open.

Last verified

27 Aug 2026

Change since last week

No separate material change located this week; the maintained research and wallet-tool baseline remains current.

Bitcoin integration
Proposed script opcode or leaf path, with separate witness treatment under discussion.
Signature & proof characteristics
Stateless signatures; direct signatures are large, while proof aggregation is an active research path.
Transactions, blockspace & fees
Review weighs validation cost against relay, storage and initial-block-download pressure.
Multisignature & hardware wallets
Composition and device verification flows remain design questions; no wallet deployment located.
Key generation & recovery
A revised independent single-address backup prototype exists, but no shared wallet standard has been proposed as a BIP.
Implementation evidence
Technical reports, verifier work and a wallet-backup prototype; no Bitcoin consensus deployment.
Open primary source
Hash-based · semi-stateful · SHRINCS Working GroupSHRINCS / OP_CHECKSHRINCSDraft cryptographic BIP · executable reference code

Current state

Current status

Draft cryptographic BIP · executable reference code

Current documented activity

Review is open on the cryptographic design, parameters and reference code; Bitcoin Script integration is explicitly deferred to a separate BIP.

Existing evidence

A public draft specification and inline Python reference implementation exist, alongside earlier C, Simplicity and Liquid experiment evidence.

Outstanding questions

Security proof, test vectors, unit tests, optimized implementation, state management, wallet recovery and Bitcoin consensus integration remain incomplete.

Last verified

27 Aug 2026

Change since last week

New development: a complete draft specification with executable Python reference code entered Bitcoin-Dev review on 27 Aug.

Bitcoin integration
The new draft specifies SHRINCS cryptography only. A separate BIP would be required for a Script opcode, output construction and consensus deployment.
Signature & proof characteristics
Hash-based design with a stateful primary component and a stateless fallback.
Transactions, blockspace & fees
Parameter and witness-cost choices remain subjects for review; no consensus resource rules are specified here.
Multisignature & hardware wallets
Wallet state, backup, recovery and multi-party use remain early design work.
Key generation & recovery
State reuse must be prevented; loss or uncertainty of state forces use of the stateless fallback.
Implementation evidence
Executable Python reference code is embedded in the draft repository; the authors warn it is experimental and not for production.
Open primary source
Blockstream Research · Falcon, Dilithium and Hawk · 26 Aug 2026Lattice-based signature candidatesBitcoin-specific comparative research · no deployment proposal

Current state

Current status

Bitcoin-specific comparative research · no deployment proposal

Current documented activity

Researchers are evaluating Falcon’s compact signatures and fast integer-only verification against signing complexity, hardware-wallet memory and the absence of workable BIP 32-style public-key derivation.

Existing evidence

A full preprint provides algorithm descriptions, parameter comparisons, security analysis and Bitcoin deployment criteria; separate Ledger SDK work demonstrates constrained-device ML-DSA implementation.

Outstanding questions

FN-DSA standardization, public-key derivation, constant-time and reproducible signing, hardware-wallet performance, independent cryptanalysis and any Bitcoin opcode or output integration remain open.

Last verified

27 Aug 2026

Change since last week

New research: Blockstream evaluated three lattice schemes and identified Falcon-1024 as its preferred lattice candidate, while concluding that none is ready to deploy.

Bitcoin integration
No BIP, opcode, Bitcoin Core implementation or activation path is proposed. The report evaluates candidate primitives for possible future integration.
Signature & proof characteristics
Blockstream favors Falcon-1024 among the lattice candidates for its size, verification speed and mature assumptions; Hawk was withdrawn after a key-recovery result, while Dilithium is simpler but substantially larger.
Transactions, blockspace & fees
Falcon-1024 combines a 1,793-byte public key with a 1,280-byte signature; still far larger than today’s 96-byte Schnorr key-plus-signature footprint.
Multisignature & hardware wallets
Lattice structure may support future threshold and multisignatures, but no practical construction is ready; Falcon-1024 signing also creates constrained-device memory and performance trade-offs.
Key generation & recovery
No workable BIP 32-style public-key derivation is known for Falcon. Dilithium derivation variants remain proof-of-concept work.
Editorial assessment
This advances protocol research, not protocol readiness: the authors retain hash-based signatures as the conservative near-term option for Bitcoin.
Open primary source

04 / Weekly archive

Snapshots, preserved

Completed weekly summaries are retained at permanent pages so changes remain auditable.